(meteorobs) Fw: Draconid Meteor Watch

[meteoreye at comcast.net]

The next outburst of the Draconids, predicted by Peter Jenniskens and Jeremie Vaubaillon is in 2011, with particles ejected in 1900. It even has a "!" next to it. Unfotunately, the moon will be near full (91% illuminated)

Wayne

-------------- Original message -------------- 
From: Skywayinc at aol.com 

> 
> In a message dated 10/8/2007 12:25:29 PM Eastern Daylight Time, 
> bmccurdy at telusplanet.net writes: 
> 
> I did play around with the Java applet linked to the spaceweather 
> website (click on "far away" to open the applet, and change the rate from 1 
> day to 1 year to see the comet's position just on the date of the shower). I 
> noted with particular interest the proximity of Giacobini-Zinner in 2018 
> when, believe it or not, the Moon will be new on Oct. 9. 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> ------------------------------------------------------------------ 
> While the 2018 scenario certainly looks at first glance, rather favorable 
> for a possible storm (or at least a 
> significant outburst), independent dust trail computations by folks like 
> Jeremie, Esko and 
> Mikhail have shown that we pretty much will miss any dense filaments 
> that year, suggesting that 2018 will provide little more than perhaps some 
> higher-than-normal enhancement. 
> 
> -- joe rao 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
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