(meteorobs) June Bootids prediction for 1901-2100

[Mikhail Maslov]

Hello, Roberto,

In 2010 the cloud of 19 century trails which caused activity in 2004
will again come close to the Earth. But still the 2010 case is
significantly less favorable in trails configuration than 2004 one.
There are no especially close encounters with trails in the cloud, so
I estimate that we have only some chances to see a weak activity due
to perturbed particles locked in resonant orbits together with the
main cloud. So ZHR should not surpass 3-5 meteors, if any. The bad
thing is also that the almost full Moon will be in the evening sky,
while meteors are not expected to be bright on average.

Best regards, Mikhail



RG> From: "Mikhail Maslov" <ast3 at ngs.ru>
RG> To: <meteorobs at meteorobs.org>
RG> Sent: Sunday, April 15, 2007 6:22 PM
RG> Subject: (meteorobs) June Bootids prediction for 1901-2100


>> Hello,
>> 
>> Prediction for the June Bootids activity in the years 1901-2100 is
>> now available at
>> http://feraj.narod.ru/Radiants/Predictions/predicteng.html
>> 
>> Best regards, Mikhail Maslov

RG> As usual a very good work Mikhail!
RG> I think with my very very epirical calculations
RG> that it should be a shower in 2010 in Nord America
RG> but in this year it shall be too the Full Moon!
RG> Best greetings.
RG> Roberto Gorelli
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